less control over outcomes, it might (?) be more realistic, but is it more desirable for HD?
It appears, based on the decision of the owners of the game, who are privy to far more user data and customer feedback than any of the user's who might like to think and pretend they know more about the business than they actually do, that a change is more desirable for HD in the long run.
Is it going to improve HD compared to the current game?
Fox and WIS appear to think so. Whether or not you and I agree is probably irrelevant.
Does it make the game more enjoyable and worth my money?
That's a question only you can answer but it appears to me that your answer is no.
Is it going to attract and/or retain coaches?
Fox and WIS appear to think so. Whether you and I agree is probably irrelevant.
Absolutely insane gamble on WIS part...
Yes, because the current version of the game is doing a bang up job of maintaining its user base. Increasingly the only coaches staying to play the game are the ones who pay the least to play the game ... so yes, absolutely insane gamble.